OAR 660-038-0110
Forecast Employment Growth Based on Oregon Employment Department Forecast
(1)
Determine the number of “commercial” and “industrial” jobs currently in the UGB as provided in Table 3.(2)
Using Table 4, determine the long-term growth rates forecast by OED for commercial jobs and for industrial jobs in the OED region that includes the city. For purposes of this rule, “OED region” means Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) Areas for which OED forecasts long-term job growth.(3)
To forecast the number of new commercial and new industrial jobs anticipated to occur in the UGB for the 14-year planning period, the city must:(a)
Multiply the number of commercial jobs currently in the UGB determined in section (1) by the forecast rate of growth determined in section (2), and(b)
Multiply the number of industrial jobs currently in the UGB determined in section (1) by the forecast rate of growth determined in section (2).(4)
To account for jobs that are likely to occur on land that is zoned for uses other than commercial or industrial (and which therefore will not require buildable “employment land”), the city must reduce the forecast of new commercial and industrial jobs determined in subsections (3)(a) and (3)(b) by 20 percent.(5)
The result is the number of new commercial and industrial jobs forecast for the 14-year planning period to be accommodated on employment lands in the UGB. The city must use this result or the result in OAR 660-038-0100 (Forecast Employment Growth Based on Population Growth) as a basis for determining employment land needs under OAR 660-038-0140 (Translate Job Forecast to Employment Land Need).
Source:
Rule 660-038-0110 — Forecast Employment Growth Based on Oregon Employment Department Forecast, https://secure.sos.state.or.us/oard/view.action?ruleNumber=660-038-0110.